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India’s GDP in Q3FY23 is expected to grow 4.6-5%
February 21, 2023
The individual datasets included in this report are presented at actual prices and therefore adjusted for price changes, so inflation is not included.
The government is expected to release third quarter GDP data on February 28. Experts and economists estimate that India’s economy will grow by 4.6% to 5% during the period October-December 2022.
Barclays India expects India to grow by 5 .0% year-over-year in Q3 FY23 (or Q4 2022), compared to growth of 6.3% a year earlier. However, on a quarterly basis, GDP growth in the third quarter may have been faster than in the previous quarter.
“Our 5.0% growth Q4 (Q3 FY23) forecast implies CY22 growth of 6.9%, which creates modest upside risks to our FY22-23 growth forecast of 7.0%, as high-frequency indicators are looking pretty strong for Q1 2023 (Q4 FY23),” said Rahul Bajoria, MD & Head of EM Asia (ex-China) Economics, Barclays.
Meanwhile, SBI Research estimates India’s GDP growth rate at 4.6% in Q3 FY2023.
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